Will the TTM APT price in Rotterdam exceed $2000 per mtu on May 1, 2026?

Question

Resolves YES if the official TTM APT price in Rotterdam, as published by recognized market sources such as Metal Bulletin or Fastmarkets on May 1, 2026, is strictly greater than $2000 per metric ton unit (mtu). This price is a key benchmark reflecting tungsten market supply-demand balance, with current prices near this level amid evolving industrial demand and supply constraints. Only the spot price on the settlement date counts; prices before or after do not affect resolution.

The APT price is a critical benchmark for tungsten market dynamics; fluctuations affect both producers and consumers.

Source: Article

The APT price is a critical benchmark for tungsten market dynamics; fluctuations affect both producers and consumers.

Source: Article

Manifold Markets · Answer

Roughly even odds — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 59% chance (1 traders, as of Mar 2, 2026).

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