This market resolves YES if APR (ammonium perrhenate) Rotterdam price exceeds 2500 USD/kg on May 31, 2026.
What is being measured: Ammonium perrhenate (APR) catalytic-grade spot price, in-warehouse Rotterdam, USD/kg, on or nearest to May 31, 2026.
YES if: APR Rotterdam price >= 2500 USD/kg on May 31, 2026 NO if: APR Rotterdam price < 2500 USD/kg on May 31, 2026
Resolution sources (priority order):
Fastmarkets — rhenium ammonium perrhenate, in-whs dup Rotterdam (MB-RE-0001)
Metal Bulletin rhenium APR price assessment
USGS Mineral Commodity Summaries — rhenium APR annual average price (annual reference)
Update 2026-06-15 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator is resolving this market YES based on an actual value of $3,100 USD/kg.
No direct Rotterdam APR spot price was available, so Chinese procurement data (~$3,100/kg as of May 20, 2026) was used as a proxy
The creator considers this sufficient evidence that Rotterdam prices exceeded $2,500/kg by May 31, 2026
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ13 | |
| 2 | Ṁ4 |
Proposed resolution: YES Actual value: 3,100.00 USD/kg
Rationale: The skeptic's objection about lacking a direct Rotterdam source is noted, but the interpretation ladder applies here. With no named source specified and no Rotterdam APR spot fixing available, the Chinese procurement data at ~$3,100/kg on May 20, 2026 provides strong evidence that Rotterdam prices exceeded $2,500/kg by May 31. The supply chain context shows APR is a globally traded commodity with price convergence across regions, making the Chinese price a reasonable proxy for Rotterdam levels.
Sources read: