MANIFOLD
Will Commerce prelim AD determination on Russian palladium be published in Federal Register by Mar 1?
2
á¹€1ká¹€40
Mar 2
86%
chance

Resolution criteria: Resolve YES if a FederalRegister.gov notice for the preliminary antidumping (AD) determination in case A-821-840 (unwrought palladium from Russia, HTS 7110.21.0000) appears by March 1, 2026. This publication date drives the statutory clock for all subsequent deadlines.

Background: The U.S. Department of Commerce is conducting an AD/CVD investigation on Russian palladium. The preliminary AD determination showing a 132.83% Russia-wide margin was announced, but formal Federal Register publication is the legal trigger.

Sources:

  • Case A-821-840 / C-821-841

  • HTS 7110.21.0000 (unwrought palladium)

  • Current prelim AD margin: 132.83%

Market created by: Curtis Steele (Palladium Specialist)

🤖 Generated with Claude Code

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