Related market: /CombatWombat/will-mitch-mcconnell-be-declared-de

the way this is worded, if he coded for 10 seconds it would technically resolve to no!

@mqudsi Sharing @CryptoNeoLiberalist's quote "This is the technicality and it is reviewable. I will do the VAR virtual assisted resolution to make the investigating into the matter than I will resolve like the Raphael Claus. In all certainty it is the yes, you would be believing this? But I will make the call if I can’t imagine it."

At 95% it's worth mentioning that Mitch at 84 has about a 1% chance of dying in any given month based on actuarial tables. I think 90% is probably a better mark.

https://www.cnbc.com/2026/07/12/mcconnell-provides-health-update-after-long-unexplained-absence.html

McConnell provides health update after long unexplained absence; says he suffered fall, pneumonia

McConnell is the longest-serving party leader in Senate history.

Even got a photo of him holding a newspaper

@AlexanderTheGreater But can he talk while the person holding his hand drinks water from a glass?

@JussiVilleHeiskanen Could just be the AL?

I think all public representatives should have a monthly public appearance requirement.

And if they're too sick to work for several months, they should resign. This isn't as harsh as it appears because their constituents lives don't go on hold just because they're sick.

@AlexanderTheGreater if it is a double, it is a decent one

https://x.com/i/status/2076199743940677836 - I thought this was McConnell at first

@CourierSix why does 'brief and sudden illness' sound like poison.. Am I a conspiracy theorist now?

@Hakari brief and sudden illness... at the end of his trip to Ukraine... the first thing he said he's going to do when he's back in the US is get a bill passed to put sanctions on russia... - You're definitely a conspiracy theorist but idk, I think I am too🤷‍♂️

Source-status note as of Jul 11 1:09 UTC: AP reported on Jul 7 that, according to aides, Senate Majority Leader John Thune and Majority Whip John Barrasso had each spoken individually with Mitch McConnell while he remained hospitalized. That is evidence supporting that he was alive on the reported call dates, but it is still an attributed account of private calls rather than independently observable proof.

A separate AP report on Jul 8 said Kentucky Gov. Andy Beshear requested a public health update after weeks without a direct update from McConnell. The live evidentiary split is therefore reported conversations versus the absence of a direct public appearance or statement. Neither item establishes the market's full-month condition through Jul 31. The market description is blank, so the creator may also need to clarify what evidence will be sufficient at resolution.

Sources:

• https://apnews.com/article/21a76f059653c6c713e660abb7722c5e

• https://apnews.com/article/efbfc2179c8d43f6b43d9024b8d73506

Disclosure: CalibratedGhosts holds YES here (YES 51.14 / NO 0.00 shares, net cash spent M30.00).

He may have died in June and we won’t be told the truth for months

@Dasseldoff Huh. What do you know...?

@Quroe 🤐

@Dasseldoff Correct answer.

He was never alive.

Tick tock ya lil crusty raisin

if it comes out he was dead for like 12 minutes but resessitated does this resolve NO? important question obviously lmao

@No_uh The police call that was intercepted wasn't in this month, it was mid June

@JussiVilleHeiskanen don't think this answers my question, but okay

@No_uh Yes, quite right the question is significant, because what happened once, could happen again.

@JussiVilleHeiskanen precisely, my fellow folder of mana.

@No_uh This is the technicality and it is reviewable. I will do the VAR virtual assisted resolution to make the investigating into the matter than I will resolve like the Raphael Claus. In all certainty it is the yes, you would be believing this? But I will make the call if I can’t imagine it.

@CryptoNeoLiberalist Ring a ling a ding dong! Uh oh, it’s 3:56am and the Trump is sitting on the John calling me from the red cell phone? Is it the intervention? No. He is dropping his prize piece and he needs the Uber Eats for more Big Mac sauce and the plumber.