Will Faith Kipyegon become the first woman to break four minutes in the mile as part of the Breaking4 project?
6
100Ṁ157
Dec 31
13%
chance

Faith Kipyegon is scheduled to attempt a sub 4 minute mile on June 26, 2025 as part of the Nike Breaking 4 project. Kipyegon holds the current record of 4:07.64, which she set in 2023.

This market will resolve YES if she breaks it as part of this project. If she fails her first attempt, it will immediately resolve NO, even if later attempts are scheduled. If the trial is rescheduled, resolution will take place when the trial takes place. Resolution will not depend on the ways in which the conditions of the race are controlled (e.g, track, pacemakers, shoes). If the project does not take place, this will resolve NO.

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Unless they have a magical shoe and ALSO use two dozen men...and also a big car.... for drafting, this should be out of reach by a couple seconds still.

I'd love to see some other company beat them to the punch though.

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