Resolution Criteria

This market resolves to the party that The Economist magazine explicitly endorses in its editorial for the next UK General Election after the July 2024 election. If The Economist endorses a coalition rather than a single party, the market resolves to "A coalition of some description." If The Economist does not make an explicit endorsement, the market resolves to "No Party."

Background

The Economist has a history of making political endorsements in UK elections:

• Historically, The Economist has often endorsed the Conservative Party

• In 2001 and 2005, it endorsed Labour under Tony Blair

• In 2019, it endorsed the Liberal Democrats

• In 2024, it endorsed Labour under Keir Starmer

The magazine generally supports parties that align with its economically liberal values, though it has noted that no party fully subscribes to these values. Its endorsements tend to be pragmatic rather than strictly ideological.

Considerations

The Economist's endorsement will likely depend on the political landscape and party platforms at the time of the next election. Leadership changes, policy shifts, and the performance of the current government could all influence which party the magazine chooses to support.