Resolution criteria
This market resolves YES if Bitcoin (BTC) closes at or above $80,000 USD on any date. Resolution will be determined by checking the closing price on major cryptocurrency exchanges including CoinDesk, CoinMarketCap, or Investing.com. The market resolves NO if Bitcoin never reaches $80,000 before the market's end date.
Background
Bitcoin reached a new all-time high of $126,000 in October 2025, but corrected roughly 50% from that peak, stabilizing near $65,000 in February 2026. As of March 2, 2026, Bitcoin is trading at approximately $66,082. This means $80,000 represents roughly a 21% increase from current levels.
Considerations
Analyst predictions for 2026 vary widely. Charles Hoskinson predicted Bitcoin could reach $250,000 by 2026, while technical analysis suggests a potential move toward $80,700 if Bitcoin sustains above $73,300 resistance. However, other analysts expect consolidation between $65,000 support and $73,300 resistance unless a decisive breakout occurs. The 2024-2026 cycle shows similar characteristics to historical patterns, with a correction following the October 2025 peak.
This description was generated by AI.
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@Jack1 also this title 😑 @CristiDan could you include 'by end of March' in the title instead of asking 'when'?
@CristiDan Here's my current rough checklist for what a crypto market should specify. Could you please try to answer some or ideally all of these questions?
exact end date/time with time zone (close date is a fine mechanism)
exact exchange(s)
exact product if relevant (a specific future or perp swap or whatever might have multiple options)
whether it is "any time before" or "at close" or something else like "any hourly candle close" or weirder.
In particular, your description does things like say "price on major cryptocurrency exchanges including" and then lists things that aren't exchanges.
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@CristiDan the "closing price" happens at midnight UTC, right? At least that's the case in CoinMarketCap.