Resolution Criteria:
The market resolves “Yes” resolves to the month (in PT) when Bitcoin (BTC) reaches or exceeds $150,000 USD at any point between Jul 11, 2025 and Jun 30, 2026 at 23:59 PT, based on data from Coinbase. The price must be reflected as the high price in any 1-minute candlestick during this tenure.
If Bitcoin does not hit $150K during this time, the market resolves “N/A.”
Resolution Date & Time: Jun 30, 2026, at 23:59 PT, or earlier if Bitcoin crosses $150K at any time during the tenure.
People are also trading
@AndrewHebb it'll resolve N/A, possibly after June leagues closes. Any temporary profits/losses may or may not count for June league.
@Chimpy Yes immobilised mana but if you have a spare 500,000 mana ...
Doesn't help for all time profits if it is NA'd but what about monthly leagues?
No risk to funds and those betting yes only have to bet small amounts for large gains. If it gets resolved in same month ah well no gain or loss but if resolved after June market ends then it could be league gain for no mana risked. So if there is chance of delayed NA then all options should adjust to 50% ?
@Chimpy do you realize that betting NO on June (which still has 3 days left, granted it's nearly impossible) is equivalent to betting YES on all the other previous options which are truly impossible?
@Chimpy ah ok i thought you were questioning my YES June bets and limits, but actually you were wondering about the YES on past months by others. Yeah, as @ChristopherRandles said this is just leagues shenanigans by now.
@Chimpy I am uniquely positioned to sell League profit points to another user for gain in their division.
I could easily take a 5k temporary loss in profits and still win my division, for example.
Maybe it's not in the best spirit of League competition to do that. But the business opportunity does exist for me.
@Quroe What gets your prize pulled
The following will result in your league prize being withheld, reduced, or recalled — even after it's been awarded:
Manipulating markets, misresolving, or otherwise breaking the Community Guidelines specifically to gain a leagues advantage.
Coordinating trades across accounts or with friends to inflate your score (see Market Manipulation).
@Quroe Ehh idgaf. Feels like a fun opportunity if not abused. Profit is our sacred metric for traders, not leagues.