Will the number of conflicts involving AI-powered autonomous weapons systems rise by at least 50% within next 10 years?
12
1kṀ2702034
76%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will AI become a strategic geopolitical weapon by 2040?
80% chance
Will someone commit violence in the name of AI safety by 2030?
65% chance
What AI safety incidents will occur in 2025?
Will there be a war over AI before 2035?
34% chance
Will autonomous weapons be used to kill >1000 humans before 2030 in an offensive strike?
70% chance
Will AI become a strategic geopolitical weapon by 2040?
61% chance
Will AI kill >20% of the human population before 2030?
5% chance
Will AI be directly responsible for causing an accident that results in 500 deaths by 2028?
21% chance
Will more than 1000 deaths be caused by misaligned AI before 2028?
13% chance
Will AI wipe out AI before 2030?
9% chance