Will the Southern Honduran Spiny-tailed Iguana (Ctenosaura praeocularis) become extinct by 2100?
2
100Ṁ152100
48%
chance
1D
1W
1M
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This market focuses on the extinction risk of the Southern Honduran Spiny-tailed Iguana, a species that was classified as Data Deficient for the IUCN Red List in 2011. Extinction is defined as the death of the last individual, including wild and captive animals. The market will resolve YES, if the species is declared Extinct by the IUCN by 2100, or earlier. It will also resolve YES, if there is other strong evidence in 2100 that the population is extinct. The market will resolve NO, if there is strong evidence in 2100, that the Southern Honduran Spiny-tailed Iguana persists.
For more information about the species, see:
For comparison, here the market about the wild extinction risk of the species:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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