Will the Cozumel Thrasher (Toxostoma guttatum) become Extinct by 2100?
3
500Ṁ21712099
97%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market focuses on the extinction risk of the Cozumel Thrasher, a bird species that is classified as “Critically Endangered” on the IUCN Red List (last assessment: 2020). Extinction is defined as the death of the last individual, including wild and captive individuals. The market will resolve YES, if the species is declared Extinct by the IUCN by 2100, or earlier. It will also resolve YES, if there is other strong evidence in 2100 that the species is extinct. The market will resolve NO, if there is strong evidence in 2100, that the Cozumel Thrasher persists.
For more information about the species, see:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will the wild population of the Axolotl (Ambystoma mexicanum) become extinct by 2100?
74% chance
Will the Southern Honduran Spiny-tailed Iguana (Ctenosaura praeocularis) become extinct by 2100?
47% chance
Will the wild population of the Southern Honduran Spiny-tailed Iguana (Ctenosaura praeocularis) become extinct by2100?
55% chance
Will the Axolotl (Ambystoma mexicanum) become extinct in the current century?
12% chance
Will the Glaucous Macaw (Anodorhynchus glaucus) become Extinct by 2100?
98% chance
Big-headed Amazon River Turtle (Peltocephalus dumerilianus) Extinct by 2100?
34% chance
Big-headed Amazon River Turtle (Peltocephalus dumerilianus) Extinct in the Wild by 2100?
42% chance
Will the wild population of the Admiralty Five-striped Skink (Emoia mivarti) become extinct by 2100?
48% chance
Will the Leatherback Turtle (Dermochelys coriacea) become extinct in the current century?
32% chance
Will the Admiralty Five-striped Skink (Emoia mivarti) become extinct by 2100?
45% chance