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MANIFOLD
Will National-Act-NZ First form a coalition government from the final results of the October 2023 New Zealand Election
16
Ṁ270Ṁ4.4k
resolved Nov 26
Resolved
YES

The main thrust of this question is whether or not you think that National-Act will have enough votes after the final results are declared on Nov 3 to form a government or whether they will require NZ First too.

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How does it resolve if there isn’t a formal coalition and rather an agreement of confidence and supply?

predictedYES

@ConorRenwick thanks for sharing - interesting to understand the nuance a little bit more. What was your intent when you setup the question?

My initial bet assumed any support in forming a government would constitute a YES on this question (without much thought TBH).

But reading the technicality in the article between coalition vs confidence and supply, I think confidence and supply for NZ First (or less likely ACT) would resolve NO.

Let us know what you think and I will act according to what your intent is.

@JulianLees I will resolve a confidence and supply as NO

predictedYES

@ConorRenwick cool thanks