Will my friend Andrew still be dating his current girlfriend on January 1, 2024?
31
182
380
resolved Jan 1
Resolved
NO

2023 market: https://manifold.markets/Conflux/will-my-friend-andrew-still-be-dati

Blurb they’ve approved: They met at a theater camp. She has fallen asleep on his shoulder several times. They have been dating for almost a month. They were in a production of “Into the Woods” together and he played her father-in-law.

Market resolves as you’d expect.

Aug 23, 8:51pm: If they break up but start dating again, and are dating on January 1, 2024, this market resolves YES.

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Uff did they break up and the 8% chance is them getting back together again?

predicted NO

@DavidChee yep - you can see the breakup on the graph…

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