Will Lee Zeldin be elected or appointed to something by end of 2026?
3
68
90
2027
38%
chance

Lee Zeldin was a New York representative between 2015 and 2023. His primary claim to fame currently was a surprisingly close loss in the 2022 New York gubernatorial election to Kathy Hochul. Additionally, he has received votes on multiple ballots for the current Speaker of the House election despite not being a sitting representative.

As a Republican from New York, winning statewide office is tough, but will Zeldin go on to hold an elected or appointed position notable enough that Wikipedia lists it on the infobox on the right?

Examples of things that would count:

  • RNC Chair (according to Wikipedia, Zeldin considered running for this in 2023 but opted against it)

  • Returning to his old House seat

  • Being appointed to a Cabinet position

  • Somehow getting elected Speaker of the House

  • Somehow getting elected Governor of New York next election

  • Really anything else that Wikipedia would list in the infobox

If Wikipedia changes its structure and removes these infoboxes, I will use judgement to determine whether Zeldin's position would've been infobox-worthy.

But whatever happens, it's gotta be before the end of 2026.

General policy for my markets: In the rare event of a conflict between my resolution criteria and the agreed-upon common-sense spirit of the market, I may resolve it according to the market's spirit or N/A, probably after discussion.

Get Ṁ200 play money