Will I release another episode of the Market Manipulation Podcast in March?
12
73
250
resolved Mar 18
Resolved
YES

I recorded the first episode as an impulse decision to manipulate a market (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cRH35mPyBPU&feature=youtu.be) but I'm slightly allured by the idea of spinning it into a more real podcast with non-whiplash sound quality. Perhaps with guests. But doing things is hard, and I'm somewhat busy these days. I also don't intend to compete if someone else is starting a real Manifold podcast (though I'd love to be a guest!)

This time, I promise to only release an episode if I think it's good and substantial. I'm not gonna throw together something in 45 minutes again to manipulate this market.

General policy for my markets: In the rare event of a conflict between my resolution criteria and the agreed-upon common-sense spirit of the market, I may resolve it according to the market's spirit or N/A, probably after discussion.

Get Ṁ200 play money

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predicted YES
bought Ṁ20 of NO

Just for the incentive 😁

bought Ṁ100 of YES

👍

sold Ṁ79 of NO

@Imbens seems quite excited about the idea of doing this

bought Ṁ10 of YES

Re:"But doing things is hard"

Agreed, but just following default strategies can hold you back. I think this idea is a low hanging fruit and you're being agentic by doing it. It's original as well. Go for it!

bought Ṁ50 of NO

@firstuserhere I appreciate your enthusiasm! I meant also that it’s a time cost, requires good ideas, etc.

My recent NO bet was unrelated to your comment, but related to https://manifund.org/projects/crystal-ballin-podcast - since I don’t particularly wanna compete, if it looks like Crystal Ballin’ is actually gonna be a thing, I will be less inclined to try to develop the Market Manipulation Podcast.

bought Ṁ0 of YES

@Conflux sounds good! And yeah I was confused with you immediately buying no after the comment lol, thanks for clarifying

bought Ṁ15 of YES

If you do, please let me help like we talked about.

@Imbens I will!