Will Dianna Cowern (Physics Girl) die in 2023?
25
490Ṁ3062
resolved Jan 1
Resolved
NO

In the most recent video on the Physics Girl YouTube channel, Simone Giertz said that Dianna Cowern's condition is "potentially life-threatening ... Dianna's health has spiraled down to the point where she can barely move, she can't feed herself, and in the past week, she has been to the ER twice. Dianna has Long Covid, and that has triggered something called ME/CFS. It's a chronic fatigue syndrome that is extremely debilitating, and Kyle, her husband, has become her full-time caretaker."

There have been some debates on whether it's ethical to make markets about people dying. I think it's good to have a sense of the true probability: I want to know how worried I should be that such a pillar of the educational YouTube community could actually die, since I don't have a lot of medical knowledge. However, if Dianna or any of her representatives objects, I will resolve this market N/A, which undoes all bets. I sincerely wish her a quick and full recovery.

General policy for my markets: In the rare event of a conflict between my resolution criteria and the agreed-upon common-sense spirit of the market, I may resolve it according to the market's spirit or N/A, probably after discussion.

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