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MANIFOLD
Will anyone insider-trade and correct the mispricing before the info is public?
6
Ṁ150Ṁ270
resolved Aug 15
Resolved
YES

One of my markets is substantially mispriced, based on information that I have been telling more and more people. I haven't specifically told any of them not to insider-trade (unless I forgot), but none of them have. Will this change before the info becomes public?

Hash

0c0e93db0b86d9247a3c538e736d3417

General policy for my markets: In the rare event of a conflict between my resolution criteria and the agreed-upon common-sense spirit of the market, I may resolve it according to the market's spirit or N/A, probably after discussion.

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Is it the hash of the information you will disclose on the market resolution?

@MrLuke255 yep! md5 of “market manipulation podcast blogpost will almost certainly be my next blogpost/video”

predictedYES

@Conflux Oh dang, I was guessing that the inside information was probably that the next episode of the Market Manipulation Podcast was releasing soon, but I forgot to go find the markets about that to bet on them.

predictedYES

I took a shot in the dark and bought yes on the market about him being hired at manifold 😅

@Imhotep I mentioned a few weeks ago that I was recording it, I’m surprised no one bet up the blog post option a bit!