Who will win the 2025 Virginia gubernatorial election?

1.1kṀ22k

resolved Nov 5

100%99.0%

Abigail Spanberger

0.2%

Winsome Earle-Sears

0.0%

Levar Stoney

0.5%

Li’l Petey (Write-in)

0.3%Other

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/2025_Virginia_gubernatorial_election

Resolves when the race is projected by a major news outlet or Dave Wasserman, re-resolves if the projection is wrong.

General policy for my markets: In the rare event of a conflict between my resolution criteria and the agreed-upon common-sense spirit of the market, I may resolve it according to the market's spirit or N/A, probably after discussion.

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CNN projects spanberger wins

JEB

Over the past year, there is somewhat more interest in Abigail Spanberger rather than Winsome Sears according to Google Trends data localized to this particular state (the 5-year data is much less helpful due to three huge peaks in the Novembers of 2020, 2021, and 2022).