What % as good as Manifold will BTE's competitor be, in my judgement, on March 2024?
18
390Ṁ1611
resolved Mar 9
Resolved as
10%

YES = as good or better than Manifold.

NO = nonexistent or worthless.

I will resolve to a multiple of 5%. Right now, I don't know exactly what criteria I will use, but I'll try to be fair. I may think of criteria later.

See

General policy for my markets: In the rare event of a conflict between my resolution criteria and the agreed-upon common-sense spirit of the market, I may resolve it according to the market's spirit or N/A, probably after discussion.

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