If Osborn is elected, who will he caucus with?
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Plus
20
Ṁ2588
Feb 1
66%
Democratic Party
15%
Republican Party
19%
Neither party - true independent

If Dan Osborn loses his senate race in Nebraska this November, this question will resolve N/A. Otherwise, this market will be resolved based on which party Osborn is caucusing with on January 31, 2025.

Inspired by: https://manifold.markets/EricNeyman/if-osborn-is-elected-will-he-caucus

General policy for my markets: In the rare event of a conflict between my resolution criteria and the agreed-upon common-sense spirit of the market, I may resolve it according to the market's spirit or N/A, probably after discussion.

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Kind of disappointed (from a predictions perspective) that we're not going to get the answer to this one.

NYT says, as of yesterday, Osborn has been "insisting that he would not caucus with either party if elected" https://www.nytimes.com/2024/10/23/us/politics/nebraska-senate-osborn-fischer.html

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