How will I rank on the 2023 NACLO Invitational?
8
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370
resolved Apr 10
Resolved
9

In 2022, I ranked #13, but the number of invitational competitors has increased from 124 to 190 this year. I ranked #68 on the 2023 Open Round. I'm training significantly harder for the Invitational this year than last in hopes of qualifying for the International Linguistics Olympiad, which would require me to rank in the top 8 (or narrowly outside, if another competitor needs to be replaced). See the description and comments of that market for lots more details.

The contest is on Thursday, March 16. I'll extend market close until rankings are published. It's unlikely that I'll tie with anyone because NACLO publishes their scores with three decimal places, but if I do I'll resolve to the highest of the tied ranks. I'm doing a log scale for this market.

General policy for my markets: In the rare event of a conflict between my resolution criteria and the agreed-upon common-sense spirit of the market, I may resolve it according to the market's spirit or N/A, probably after discussion.

Get Ṁ200 play money

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predicted LOWER

(technically I forgot to talk about whether I'm counting Canadian participants. I'm choosing to ignore them, because they don't affect USA qualification and therefore how well I actually do in IOL terms. They were included in the #68 figure but not the #13 one. Sorry, I'll send you a manalink if you feel wronged!)

bought Ṁ80 of LOWER

I believe 👍

sold Ṁ12 of LOWER

@DesTiny aw you won’t buy to 190?

bought Ṁ100 of LOWER

@Conflux you wish

bought Ṁ60 of HIGHER

@DesTiny you’re making me hold yes :(

predicted HIGHER

@Conflux higher I mean

predicted LOWER

@Conflux what it this

predicted LOWER

yours is broken too 😭

Why can't we buy it past #100 place?

@DesTiny oh nvm Idk why it didn't show

predicted LOWER

@DesTiny Yeah, you should be able to buy up to 190