Will Trump declare the Iran war to be won in the next month? | Manifold

Will Trump declare the Iran war to be won in the next month?

63

Ṁ1kṀ18k

Apr 11

88%

chance

8

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

This market resolves YES if Trump makes a public statement declaring the Iran war to be won (or uses equivalent language such as "victory," "mission accomplished," or similar declarations of successful conclusion) before April 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on statements from Trump via social media, press conferences, interviews, or official White House communications. The market resolves NO if no such declaration is made by April 11, 2026.

Market context

Republican Party

Trump's Second Term

Get

1,000

to start trading!

Sort by:

https://www.reddit.com/r/InBitcoinWeTrust/s/aly572Rc12

Yes holders, we won. We won. It was over in the first hour.

bought Ṁ50 YES

@LarsOsborne @CommanderKeen does this count

Would his “practically over” comment have qualified? If not, where is the line?

People are also trading

Will the United States lose the war against Iran?

+14% 1d64% chance

Will America declare war on Iran before the end of 2026

+4% 1d7% chance

Will Trump abandon the Iran war?

+4% 1d37% chance

Will the US be at war with Iran when Trump leaves office?

[Metaculus] If there is an American AUMF or declaration of war against Iran before 2030, wil...l Tehran within one year?

Related questions

Will the United States lose the war against Iran?

Will America declare war on Iran before the end of 2026

Will Trump abandon the Iran war?

Will the US be at war with Iran when Trump leaves office?

[Metaculus] If there is an American AUMF or declaration of war against Iran before 2030, wil...l Tehran within one year?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy