I will be using american central time to resolve this question. If a calendar day goes by without any comments, I will resolve this market to the number of days since March 9 2025 (eg if nobody comments on March 12 2025 the market will resolve to 3 days). If we go over a year with a comment every day, the question will close and resolve to 366+ I reserve the right to bet on this question, but I probably won't. I will post only one first comment, today [see below]. I am not sure if I will still be regularly using manifold in a year, but I will try to check in every month or so at the very least to see if I need to resolve the market.
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ1,206 | |
| 2 | Ṁ208 | |
| 3 | Ṁ128 | |
| 4 | Ṁ65 | |
| 5 | Ṁ62 |
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@bens I believe that will cost you 367M in bot API fees unless they changed that since I last checked. Given the low liquidity in this market, not sure you will actually make a profit...
Just set up a script to comment automatically once per day on this post for the next 367 days.
That's gotta be cheating smh my head 😔
nah but for every like each comment gets, I can make back the mana and more probably
Wait are you saying we earn mana from comment likes?
@TheAllMemeingEye you have to be invited to participate in Manifold's Top Forecasting Commenters Program. Generally they only invite people who generate consumer surplus through their comments (bets made off the comments generated a positive EV), so you likely wouldn't qualify after looking through your comment log
so you likely wouldn't qualify after looking through your comment log
wha- surely jokes, clarifying market criteria, and arguing in favour of the Effective Altruism movement do have positive expected value, can't believe I'm being slandered like this
@bens I really hope you pull the rug out from everyone and stop the script on some random day in the middle