This market is part of a series of markets originally inspired by a scroll through Rumble.com, but now including Twitter predictions to broaden the search space.
I will not be trading in those markets.
If you want to discuss this series of markets in general there is a Discord thread.
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@jack what linked Rumble post? This is how it looks from my side, the only link to Rumble is to the front page:
Or do you mean the last sentence of the tweet? In that case him being killed is not relevant to the market, no.
@jack I stopped doing anything with extremely low priors as all those "will insane conspiracy theory (resolves NO)" felt spammy. Do you consider him being killed to be significantly more probable, given you're betting NO?
@CodeandSolder No, I think that's extremely unlikely.
I'm betting NO because he was already indicted lol. https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/politics-news/hunter-biden-indicted-federal-gun-charges-rcna39623