Will Hunter Biden serve time in jail/prison?

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Before the market was created doesn't count
Visiting someone else in jail/prison doesn't count
Brief holding in the drunk tank does not count
Pretrial detention does not count
This is only for serving a sentence.

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When will Hunter Biden serve time?

Will Hunter Biden spend a day in jail before the end of July 2025?

1% chance

Will Hunter Biden be physically in prison / jail at the end of 2025?

2% chance

Will Hunter Biden spend at least a year in jail/prison by 2030?

5% chance

Will Hunter Biden be physically in prison / jail at the end of 2026?

10% chance

Will Hunter Biden and Donald Trump serve time in the same federal correctional center by the end of 2026?

1% chance

Will Hunter Biden serve jail time before Andy Reid retires?

1% chance

Will Donald Trump live to see Hunter Biden spend a day in jail?

6% chance

Will Hunter Biden receive a longer prison sentence than Elizabeth Holmes?

7% chance

Will Hunter Biden be arrested between Dec 2024-Dec 2028 for any crimes committed following his pardon?

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bought Ṁ50 YES

He could get caught up on drug/weapons charges again.
People can't be pardoned for future crimes
Pardons for unspecified past crimes for which charges haven't even been brought yet are of dubious legality and haven't really been tested in court.

@JonathanRay the pardon at question Ex Parte Garland was fairly specific in that it only pardoned people for participating in the confederacy, not for all possible crimes. The latter sort of pardon has only ever been given to Richard Nixon and Hunter Biden, and hasn't been tested in court.

bought Ṁ50 YES

He could easily commit another crime in the US and be sent to jail. The pardon is not prospective. I imagine Trump will be looking for any opportunity.