Will either Joe Biden or Donald Trump die before the election but be on the ballot nonetheless?
Plus
16
แน1254Dec 31
3%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market is part of a series of markets originally inspired by a scroll through Rumble.com, but now including Twitter predictions to broaden the search space.
They will be resolved to PROB based on the spirit of the hypothesis (somewhat vibes-based), using evidence posted in comments and own research if necessary.
I will not be trading in those markets.
If you want to discuss this series of markets in general there is a Discord thread.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will either Joe Biden or Donald Trump be elected President in 2024?
51% chance
Will either Joe Biden or Donald Trump die before the 2024 U.S. presidential election?
1% chance
Will Donald Trump or Joe Biden die before Jan 2028?
48% chance
Will Donald Trump die before Joe Biden?
32% chance
If Biden dies before the election, will Trump become president?
51% chance
Will Trump or Biden have a stroke before the 2024 election?
Who will die first, Joe Biden or Donald Trump?
Will Joe Biden die before Donald Trump?
70% chance
Will Donald Trump outlive Joe Biden?
68% chance
Will either Joe Biden or Donald Trump suffer a serious medical emergency before the election? (Non-intentional only)
5% chance