[accidental duplicate]

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resolved Aug 30

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This market is part of a series of markets originally inspired by a scroll through Rumble.com, but now including Twitter predictions to broaden the search space.

They will be resolved to PROB based on the spirit of the hypothesis (somewhat vibes-based), using evidence posted in comments and own research if necessary.
I will not be trading in those markets.
If you want to discuss this series of markets in general there is a Discord thread.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#Conspiracy Theories

#Change My Mind

#Rumble Griftposting

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Seems I accidentally duplicated the question, keeping the one with more traders: https://manifold.markets/CodeandSolder/will-arizona-have-90-voter-turnout-de056d76704a?r=Q29kZWFuZFNvbGRlcg

Will Arizona have >90% voter turnout in the 2024 presidential election?

7% chance. This market is part of a series of markets originally inspired by a scroll through Rumble.com, but now including Twitter predictions to broaden the search space. They will be resolved to PROB based on the spirit of the hypothesis (somewhat vibes-based), using evidence posted in comments and own research if necessary. I will not be trading in those markets. If you want to discuss this series of markets in general there is a Discord thread. [image]see also: @/CodeandSolder/will-arizona-have-80-voter-turnout @/CodeandSolder/will-arizona-have-95-voter-turnout

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