Will Arizona have >90% voter turnout in the 2024 presidential election?
Plus
13
Ṁ953Dec 31
2%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market is part of a series of markets originally inspired by a scroll through Rumble.com, but now including Twitter predictions to broaden the search space.
They will be resolved to PROB based on the spirit of the hypothesis (somewhat vibes-based), using evidence posted in comments and own research if necessary.
I will not be trading in those markets.
If you want to discuss this series of markets in general there is a Discord thread.
see also:
/CodeandSolder/will-arizona-have-80-voter-turnout
/CodeandSolder/will-arizona-have-95-voter-turnout
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will Trump win Arizona in the 2024 Presidential Election?
99% chance
Will absolute voter turnout in the 2024 US Presidential election be higher than 2020?
1% chance
Will voter turnout in the 2024 US Presidential Election exceed 65%?
54% chance
What will voter turnout be in the 2024 United States Presidential election?
Will the 2024 election have higher turnout than 2020?
8% chance
What will be the margin of victory be in Arizona in the 2024 Presidential election?
Will the voter turnout in the 2024 Presidential election be 64% or larger?
56% chance
Will Arizona have an abortion referendum on the ballot in 2024?
96% chance
Will a democrat win the 2024 presidential election in Arizona?
1% chance
Will the voter turnout in the 2024 Presidential election be 62% or larger?
58% chance