Which of these random 4-letter words will appear most frequently in published books during 2025? | Manifold

Which of these random 4-letter words will appear most frequently in published books during 2025?

7

100Ṁ151

2027

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

28%

BORP

65%

JUGO

4%

JOCR

3%

ZPKE

This market predicts which of the user's made-up words (BORP, JUGO, JOCR, ZPKE) will appear most frequently in published books during 2025, as measured by Google Books Ngram Viewer (https://books.google.com/ngrams). Resolution will be based on comparing the frequency of each term for the year 2025.

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Extending this market, it should eventually be resolving as the new data is collected

What are the exact search parameters you'll use? And is your intention to leave this market closed and unresolved until such a time as Google Books might incorporate a 2025 dataset?

bought Ṁ26 YES

Case insensitive?

bought Ṁ1 YES

Also get 10 mana for each unique trader, not for each trade

@JussiVilleHeiskanen true

when i made this market it cost 100 mana but i also fulfiled a question creation quest and got 100 mana for it

@CimoreneBlume also you may in some cases get mana "back" once you resolve. The less people trade, the more is returned, is my guess.

People are also trading

What new word(s) will appear for the first time in the New York Times before 2030? [ADD SUGGESTIONS]

What words will be added to the North American scrabble dictionary before 2035?

Oxford Word of the Year 2026?

Will a novel published by a 'Big Five' publisher turn out to be written by an AI by 2028?

Will Scrabble add a two letter C or V word by the end of 2027?

[Metaculus] By 2050, will at least 25% of #1 NYT Best Selling Fiction be primarily written by AI?

Will at least five purely-AI-written books make it onto the New York Times fiction bestseller list before 2031?

Related questions

What new word(s) will appear for the first time in the New York Times before 2030? [ADD SUGGESTIONS]

What words will be added to the North American scrabble dictionary before 2035?

Oxford Word of the Year 2026?

Will a novel published by a 'Big Five' publisher turn out to be written by an AI by 2028?

Will Scrabble add a two letter C or V word by the end of 2027?

[Metaculus] By 2050, will at least 25% of #1 NYT Best Selling Fiction be primarily written by AI?

Will at least five purely-AI-written books make it onto the New York Times fiction bestseller list before 2031?

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