Why is the "5000 Gazans" market % plummeting?
3
Never closes
Any more evidence against the starvation estimates has been released
So that someone else can buy YES
Traders believe the market is asking what <will> happen rather than what has
To have best me in "Balance battleship" even though we will ultimately win the payout
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The market "Will 5000 Gazans starve to death as a result of the current conflict" is changing rapidly and I wish to understand why.
https://manifold.markets/Panfilo/will-5000-gazans-starve-to-death-as?r=Q2h1bWNodWx1bQ
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I don't think it's likely that 5,000+ gazans will starve to death, but that market is going to be incredibly difficult to resolve because nobody trustworthy releases numbers, and nobody really knows. If there was an ultimate truth signal we could use to resolve it, I'd be comfortable betting it much lower..
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