Will the "5000 Gazans" market bankrupt @Chumchulum?

Question

@/Panfilo/will-5000-gazans-starve-to-death-as

Will the resolution of the linked market on July 1 cause @Chumchulum to have a negative balance of thousands and debt that can never be paid off except through bankruptcy procedures?

This market is not simply the inverse of the linked market. I will not bet on this market. If needed, resolution can rely on a poll, though a reasoning must be provided.

AS OF 31 JULY, 2026 the resolution date is being updated to that of the linked market.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Probably not — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 35% chance (5 traders, as of Sep 22, 2026).

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