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MANIFOLD
World Cup 2026 prop bets
16
Ṁ2.2kṀ7k
resolved Jul 21
Resolved
YES
10% for each red card in group stages
Resolved
30%
10% for each team that wins all their group games
Resolved
60%
10% per total goals in match in highest score draw in group stage
Resolved
60%
10% for each team that does not get a point in group stage
Resolved
60%
20% for each point for lowest points in group stage that qualifies
Resolved
60%
20% for each point for highest points in group stage that fails to qualifies
Resolved
50%
5% for highest goals a team scores in all three games of group stage
Resolved
80%
10% for each goal difference for team with highest goal difference after group stage
Resolved
70%
10% for each 0-0 draw in group stage
Resolved
30%
10% for each game won by teams eliminated in group stage
Resolved
30%
10% for each hat trick in group stage
Resolved
80%
10% for each come from behind win in group stage
Resolved
YES
2% for each goal over 40 in knock out stages (excludes penalty shootouts)
Resolved
75%
15% each red card in knock out stage
Resolved
50%
10% per penalty scored in lowest scoring penalty shoot out
Resolved
40%
10% each match having penalty shoot out due to draw after extra time
Resolved
35%
5% per penalty scored in highest scoring penalty shoot out
Resolved
20%
10% for each 0-0 at end of regular time in knock out stage
Resolved
20%
10% per own goal in knock out stage
Resolved
20%
20% per penalty shootout that is the most shootouts a single team competes in

Feel free to add markets.

Let me know if anything is unclear.

Highest scoring draw in the group stage

  • Update 2026-06-11 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The resolution is based on total goals in the match (not goals per team) in the highest scoring draw in the group stage.

  • This question has now been edited for addition clarity

  • Update 2026-06-15 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The 5% answer refers to the highest number of goals a team scores across all 3 group stage games (not in a single match).

  • Update 2026-07-20 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator is uncertain whether this market should resolve based on penalties awarded or penalties scored, as the description did not specify. The creator's original intent was penalties scored, but they are unsure if it is fair to resolve on either basis.

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I am not sure how to resolve this one: In other markets I wrote 'penalties scored' but not here so the implication could be that this is penalties awarded. I think I intended it to be penalties scored but wonder if it is unfair to resolve as either of these.

Resolved 100% for 11 awarded. Seems no-one bet no so no-one adversely affected by this

opened a Ṁ250 YES at 80% order

Come from behind wins:
South Korea 2 Czech Republic 1
Germany 2 Ivory Coast 1
Mew Zealand 1 Egypt 3
Jordan 1 Algeria 3
Morocco 4 Haiti 2
Ecuador 2 Germany 1
Turkey 3 USA 2
DR Congo 3 Uzbekistan 1

Looks like 8, have I got that right? Any more? Any wrong?

3 hat tricks in group stage: Messi, David, Dembele

@ChristopherRandles Is this for a single match in the group stage or total goals by a team across all their group stage games?

@Jen6382 across 3 group stage games
(I don't expect more than 10 in a game so it would be 10% if it was for a single match.)

@ChristopherRandles Is this total goals in the match or goals per team?

@jonathan I intended total goals in the match. 10% because I don't imagine more than 5-5 is going to happen. A 2-2 seems quite likely so surprised it is trading so low. Is that indicative that people think it is goals per team?

How do I make it clearer? Maybe "10% per total goals in match in highest score draw in group stage"?

bought Ṁ14 YES

@ChristopherRandles Yeah agreed that 2-2 is pretty likely

I'm guessing some people thought it's per team and some people thought it's total because I would be surprised if 4-4 happens

I think saying total somewhere would help