Will / When / Who will wealthiest person have net worth more than 2nd and 3rd persons combined (Forbes)
5
1.2kṀ11k
resolved Dec 13
Resolved
YES
Anyone by end of 2030
Resolved
YES
Anyone by end of 2029
Resolved
YES
Elon Musk by end of 2030
Resolved
YES
Elon Musk by end of 2029
Resolved
YES
Anyone by end of 2028
Resolved
YES
Elon Musk by end of 2028
Resolved
YES
Anyone by end of 2027
Resolved
YES
Elon Musk by end of 2027
Resolved
YES
Anyone by end of June 2026
Resolved
YES
Elon Musk by end of 2025
Resolved
YES
Elon Musk by end of June 2026
Resolved
YES
Anyone by end of 2025

Per https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#59f1cdf3d788

If anyone spots this occurring please post to assist resolution.

At market creation on 6 October 2025 the list was
1 Elon Musk $482.3 B

2 Larry Ellison $346.6 B

3 Mark Zuckerberg $243.5 B
(Elon Musk had a few days prior reached twice net worth of 3rd place person.)

Extra dates and people answers can be added and closing date should be extended as needed.

If Forbes source ceases to be available the most authoritative alternative should be used in its place. For example, at present I am aware of Bloomberg also having a dally updated version which is currently at https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ1,119
2Ṁ618
3Ṁ9
4Ṁ0
Sort by:
bought Ṁ40 YES

@ChristopherRandles
498.8 > (254.2+240.1=494.3)
Resolve yes for all

Also here is an archived link to prove I didnt edit the page html lol https://archive.ph/Yr04O

@ChristopherRandles also, the market is set up as multiple choice independent, so all of them should resolve yes.

bought Ṁ10 NO

I think using Anyone else was a mistake and it should just be anyone.
Any objections to making this change?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy