Which order will Artemis II, New Glenn flight 3 and Starship flight 12 launch?
28
Ṁ1kṀ14kresolved Apr 19
100%99.3%
Artemis II then New Glenn flight 3
0.2%
Artemis II then Starship flight 12
0.1%
New Glenn flight 3 then Artemis II
0.1%
New Glenn flight 3 then Starship flight 12
0.1%
Starship flight 12 then Artemis II
0.1%
Starship flight 12 then New Glenn flight 3
Question resolves after 2 launches without needing third to launch. (Hence options only list first two of the 3 launches)
If 2 haven't launched and appear cancelled question resolves 50:50 between the two possible orders.
If all 3 haven't launched and appear cancelled question is N/A.
Close date gets extended until 2 launched or remaining launches appear cancelled.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ417 | |
| 2 | Ṁ227 | |
| 3 | Ṁ216 | |
| 4 | Ṁ127 | |
| 5 | Ṁ116 |
People are also trading
Related questions
Which happens first? Starliner-2, Psyche arrival, Artemis III, or New Glenn 15?
Which is first in 2026: Starship refueling, New Glenn RTF, or Neutron?
Does Starship flight 150 happen before New Glenn 15?
27% chance
Will 15 or more starship and super-heavy launches be required for Artemis 3?
5% chance
Will Artemis III launch (with humans, destination moon) before 2027?
1% chance
Will 10 or more starship flights be required for Artemis 3?
33% chance
By when will New Glenn next launch?