MANIFOLD
Which Company or Lab will release a Quantum Computer that can break RSA-2048 first?
1
Ṁ95Ṁ10
resolved Nov 28
ResolvedN/A
26%
IBM
37%
Google
37%
D-Wave

Will consider adding additional options on request.

If no Quantum Computer with above capability is built by 2040, this resolves N/A

Market context
Quantum Computing
Cryptography
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Suggest adding PsiQuantum to the list.

@GavinBrennen Hm; I can't quite seem to figure out how to add a new option.

@ChrisGreene Will add once I figure out the UI / API.

@GavinBrennen https://manifold.markets/ChrisGreene/which-company-or-lab-will-release-a

Going to resolve this question as N/A in favor of the other.

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