Will the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) do anything meaningful by July 4th 2026?
29
100Ṁ16292026
92%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Department_of_Government_Efficiency
Did Trump give Elon and Vivek real influence or a fake role to keep them away from him?
It's not a federal executive department, but they have aspirations of cutting the federal workforce by over 50%.
This market resolves YES if there's a media consensus that DOGE has done something meaningful (i.e. not just write a report, but actually influence the federal budget).
Shutting down the Department of Education might count if it is attributed to Musk/Ramaswamy.
An app to file taxes doesn't seem significant enough unless the IRS loses most of it's funding.
May resolve N/A if ambiguous.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Is DOGE implementing Land Value Tax (LVT) before July 2025?
1% chance
Will any US federal court rule that the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) has broken federal law in 2025?
91% chance
Will President Trump extend the DOGE Executive Order Agenda past the July 4th, 2026 deadline?
41% chance
Will the Department of Government Efficiency lead to at least 100,000 federal government layoffs by 4th of July 2026?
80% chance
Will DOGE be officially shut down before 2026?
36% chance
Will the Department of Government Efficiency lead to at least 10,000 federal government layoffs by 4th of July 2026?
95% chance
Which government agencies will DOGE announce it seeks to privatize or eliminate?
Will DOGE find something on government computers that leads to an indictment?
20% chance
Will DOGE inspect Fort Knox to verify the presence of the 4,580 tons of US gold by the end of 2025?
17% chance
Will there be a 'DOGE Dividend' by the end of 2026?
5% chance