Will the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) do anything meaningful by July 4th 2026?
29
100Ṁ16292026
92%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Department_of_Government_Efficiency
Did Trump give Elon and Vivek real influence or a fake role to keep them away from him?
It's not a federal executive department, but they have aspirations of cutting the federal workforce by over 50%.
This market resolves YES if there's a media consensus that DOGE has done something meaningful (i.e. not just write a report, but actually influence the federal budget).
Shutting down the Department of Education might count if it is attributed to Musk/Ramaswamy.
An app to file taxes doesn't seem significant enough unless the IRS loses most of it's funding.
May resolve N/A if ambiguous.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will any US federal court rule that the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) has broken federal law in 2025?
91% chance
Will President Trump extend the DOGE Executive Order Agenda past the July 4th, 2026 deadline?
41% chance
Will the Department of Government Efficiency lead to at least 100,000 federal government layoffs by 4th of July 2026?
80% chance
Will DOGE be officially shut down before 2026?
34% chance
Will the Department of Government Efficiency lead to at least 10,000 federal government layoffs by 4th of July 2026?
95% chance
Which government agencies will DOGE announce it seeks to privatize or eliminate?
Will DOGE cause a data breach during 2025?
34% chance
Will DOGE find something on government computers that leads to an indictment?
20% chance
Will DOGE inspect Fort Knox to verify the presence of the 4,580 tons of US gold by the end of 2025?
17% chance
Will there be a 'DOGE Dividend' by the end of 2026?
5% chance