How much of SSA's COBOL code will DOGE successfully replace by December 31, 2025?
6
100Ṁ234
Dec 31
51%
<50%
20%
51-90%
22%
91-100%
7%
Other

DOGE has announced plans to rewrite the Social Security Administration's software systems, which contain more than 60 million lines of COBOL code. This market asks what percentage of that code will be successfully replaced with modern programming languages by the end of 2025.

Resolution will be based on official SSA or DOGE statements, credible news reports, or government oversight documentation that specifically quantifies the progress made.

If no official data is available market will resolve to <50%

This market does not contemplate outages or errors. It is about the code replacement.

Sources:

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What happens when DOGE says one thing and credible reporting says another?

@WilliamGunn will have to use judgement…

@RexSalisbury Will your judgment take into consideration DOGE's documented prior misrepresentations of achievements?

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