GPT 4.5 "Intelligence" via artificialanalysis.ai
19
100Ṁ1621resolved May 9
100%99.0%
50-54 (at or below o1-mini)
0.3%
<50 (underwhelming)
0.3%
55-59 (worse than Deepseek R1)
0.2%
60-64 (matches SoTA reasoning models)
0.2%
65+ (new frontier)
In May 2024, Orion (GPT-4.5, assumed to be GPT-5 at the time) was promised to be a Whale by Microsoft.
Will it surpass the current whale (Deepseek R1)?
Source: https://artificialanalysis.ai (subject to some discretion in case the methodology changes)
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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bought Ṁ1 YES
Assuming it's not a reasoning model is 60 a fair upper limit?
Or does OpenAI have something up their sleeves to one up Grok 3 (~53 w/o reasoning, ~66 w/ reasoning)
Since there's over 50% for this to resolve to the highest option I added more
https://manifold.markets/ChinmayTheMathGuy/gpt-45-intelligence-via-artificiala-u8ZOQuAhOZ
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