GPT 4.5 "Intelligence" via artificialanalysis.ai
19
100Ṁ1098
Jul 1
4%
<50 (underwhelming)
86%
50-54 (at or below o1-mini)
6%
55-59 (worse than Deepseek R1)
1.9%
60-64 (matches SoTA reasoning models)
1.8%
65+ (new frontier)

In May 2024, Orion (GPT-4.5, assumed to be GPT-5 at the time) was promised to be a Whale by Microsoft.

Will it surpass the current whale (Deepseek R1)?

Source: https://artificialanalysis.ai (subject to some discretion in case the methodology changes)

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:
bought Ṁ1 YES

Assuming it's not a reasoning model is 60 a fair upper limit?

Or does OpenAI have something up their sleeves to one up Grok 3 (~53 w/o reasoning, ~66 w/ reasoning)

Since there's over 50% for this to resolve to the highest option I added more

https://manifold.markets/ChinmayTheMathGuy/gpt-45-intelligence-via-artificiala-u8ZOQuAhOZ

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules