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MANIFOLD
2024 World Rapid Chess Championship winner Rating?
6
Ṁ100Ṁ1k
resolved Dec 29
100%99.0%
Below 2675 (incl. Onischuk, Quang Liem, Sindarov Sarana, Ivanchuk, Robson, Hans, Danya, Gelfand)
0.1%
2800+ (Magnus Carlsen)
0.2%
2760+ (Caruana, MVL, or Wei Yi)
0.3%
2740+ (Nepo, Aronian, Firouzja, Hikaru, Nodirbek, or Duda
0.4%
2675+ (So, Xiong, Mamedyarov, Leinier, Yu, Arjun, Pragg, Giri, Dubov, Grischuk)

See

https://manifold.markets/Nightsquared/who-will-win-the-2024-world-rapid-c-LE8Uh60nc9

for individual player markets

Sources for Ratings

https://chess-results.com/tnr1074690.aspx?lan=1&art=0&flag=30

https://en.chessbase.com/post/world-rapid-blitz-2024-full-lists

lichess, chess com, 2700chess, FIDE

The 5 options in the market correspond to

Top 1, Top 4, Top 10, Top 20, and outside top 20 in the ratings screenshot.

Background:

2024 World Rapid Chess Championship is a 13 round Swiss tournament with 15 + 10 time control with over 180 players

Market context
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

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