Reports indicate that Argentina is planning a friendly match against Russia in Moscow's Luzhniki Stadium in November 2025, despite FIFA's ban on Russia from international competitions. This market resolves to 'Yes' if the match takes place before December 31, 2025, and 'No' otherwise. Official announcements from the Argentine Football Association (AFA) or match reports from reputable sports news outlets will serve as resolution sources.
It can be any form of an Argentinian national team that is sanctioned by the AFA (like U-20)
Edge-case guidance for “Friendly match between Russia (senior men’s team) and any AFA-sanctioned Argentina side by 31 Dec 2025”
Date moved earlier in 2025 – Resolve Yes (still before the deadline).
Match postponed into 2026 – Resolve No (after the deadline).
Venue changed to a neutral location (e.g., Dubai) – Resolve Yes (location is irrelevant).
Played behind closed doors but reported by official channels or major media – Resolve Yes (documentation exists).
Kick-off occurs but the game is abandoned (weather, crowd trouble) – Resolve Yes (a started senior-vs-senior fixture counts).
Fixture announced then cancelled before kick-off – Resolve No (match never took place).
Argentina fields any alternate squad (U-23, U-20, “All-Star XI” billed by AFA as national) against Russia’s senior team – Resolve Yes (Russian senior requirement met; Argentina unrestricted).
Argentine club side (e.g., Boca Juniors) faces Russia senior – Resolve No (club team excluded).
Russia senior team competes under a neutral label (“RFU”, “ROC”, etc.) – Resolve Yes (same player pool = senior national team).
Russia fields a youth or mixed-age squad vs any Argentina team – Resolve No (Russian side is not senior).
Russia fields a club or league All-Star XI vs Argentina – Resolve No (not the senior national team).
Double-header day: Russia U-20 vs Argentina U-20 and Russia senior vs Argentina (any) – Resolve Yes (because the senior fixture occurs).
Labeled “training scrimmage” with no officials and no public record – Resolve No (requires verifiable reporting).
Walk-over/forfeit with no kick-off – Resolve No (physical match must start).
Only one uncorroborated outlet reports the match; AFA and major media silent – Resolve No unless later confirmed by an independent reputable source (prevents false positives).
All criteria met but match happens on 31 Dec 2025 local time – Resolve Yes (still within the cut-off date).
Verification hierarchy
AFA official channels (website, X/Twitter, press release)
Russian Football Union / official senior-team channels
Major sports news outlets (ESPN, TyC Sports, Reuters, AFP, BBC Sport)
If 1–3 are absent, two independent Tier-2 outlets agreeing on date, venue, and participation of Russia’s senior team
A single rumor, social-media post, or unverifiable blog is insufficient for resolution.
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