Looks like I need to keep this market open at least until the further hearing on September 25. https://apnews.com/article/anthropic-authors-book-settlement-ai-copyright-claude-b282fe615338bf1f98ad97cb82e978a1#

After spending nearly an hour mostly lambasting a settlement that he believes is full of pitfalls, U.S. District Judge William Alsup scheduled another hearing in San Francisco on September 25 to review whether his concerns had been addressed.

“We’ll see if I can hold my nose and approve it” then, Alsup said before adjourning Monday’s hearing.

Assuming the judge approves the proposed settlement, this market will resolve NO. That should happen at/after the hearing on September 8. https://www.axios.com/2025/09/05/anthropic-ai-copyright-settlement

Seems like there should have been a market that resolved yes on this news. Was there one?

Anthropic actually settled for 1.5 billion. This counts as No per discussion below. But the amount is more than I expected, I think.

https://x.com/RobertFreundLaw/status/1964040618549846071?t=007jxrkyYQC7McLTCToNtQ&s=19

All the markets on this:
- https://manifold.markets/GauravYadav/will-anthropic-lose-the-authors-cop
- https://manifold.markets/Bayesian/the-potentially-businessending-anth
- https://manifold.markets/CharlesFoster/will-anthropic-be-ordered-to-pay-1b
- https://manifold.markets/Nu%C3%B1oSempere/will-anthropic-go-bankrupt-or-be-di

Settlement of over $1B resolves No?

@JoshYou correct: if the case settles without a >= $1B court order, I will resolve NO.