Will OpenAI pay damages exceeding $1 million in a tort liability case by 2028?
4
100Ṁ492027
60%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market resolves YES if, by January 1, 2028:
- A court issues a final judgment ordering OpenAI to pay tort damages exceeding $1 million to any plaintiff(s) in a single case, OR
- OpenAI agrees to a settlement exceeding $1 million in a tort case where the settlement agreement explicitly states it resolves tort liability claims
I will not bet in this market.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will the New York Times win a case against OpenAI/Microsoft before the end of 2025?
36% chance
Will OpenAI lose a class-action copyright-related lawsuit before 2028?
60% chance
Will OpenAI have $1 billion in revenue in 2025?
99% chance
Will OpenAI make a profit in 2024?
3% chance
Which of the following lawsuits will prevail against OpenAI?
Will OpenAI have revenues of at least $5 billion (ARR) by the end of year 2025?
99% chance
Will OpenAI be sued (with standing) for using transcribed YouTube videos for GPT before 2026?
10% chance
Will OpenAI have >$10 billion in revenue by 2027?
89% chance
Will OpenAI have $2 billion annual revenue in 2025?
98% chance
Will OpenAI have AI-related IP stolen before 2026?
29% chance