Will Russia invade Moldova before May 2022?
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100Ṁ798
resolved Mar 1
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N/A
This market resolves to 'Yes' if media consensus is that Russian troops have entered Moldova before the 1st of May, 2022, as decided by me.
Politics
Ukraine-Russia war
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Okay, but Russian troops are already in Transnistria and both Russia and Moldova acknowledge this. They also are not on request of the Moldovan government either. Would this question resolve yes for a further incursion or is the current one enough? https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/russian-forces-hold-military-drills-breakaway-statelet-near-ukraine-2022-02-01/
And hence entering Transnistria would represent a significant shift in Russian foreign policy with regards to Moldova.
Let's include Transnistria because even Russia doesn't officially recognise Transnistria.
Does this include the breakaway province of Transnistria?
Putin showing every sign of wanting to escalate

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