What year will Ovechkin's instagram profile picture be one without Putin for the first time?
Basic
1
Ṁ502030
6%
2025
6%
2026
6%
2027
6%
2028
6%
2029
72%
2030 / later / never
Resolves 100% for the year when a profile picture on Ovechkin's account without Vladimir Putin is posted.
Moscow local time is used to determine the current year.
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What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
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