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related
https://manifold.markets/Joshua/what-will-be-the-name-of-the-next-e

Resolves

https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.businessinsider.com/elon-musk-third-child-with-neuralink-exec-shivon-zilis-2024-6%3famp

@CertaintyOfVictory this stands for cloning technology, right?

Oh, it was already discussed

Does the "Elon Musk" option mean that he cloned himself or what?

Not necessarily. Maybe he finds a way to gestate a child himself. Pretty unlikely though.

"Not necessarily." So it includes the possibility that he cloned himself, yes?

I can imagine scenarios in which Elon Musk clones himself and the question resolves YES, but it is not a necessary condition.

how does this resolve if an already-born child is revealed?

That depends on who the mother is.

cool, and I presume you'll extend indefinitely?

Yes, if necessary.

Shouldn't this be linked rather than independent?

Elon plans to get aella pregnant but comes in fluffer

The market clearly states "If Elon becomes a father again". "If Elon becomes a father again, Elon won't become father" is an illogical sentence. I'm going to N/A this.