Background

Elon Musk currently has three confirmed baby mamas: Justine Wilson, Grimes (Claire Elise Boucher), and Shivon Zilis. Recently, Ashley St. Clair claimed to be the mother of Musk's 13th child, though this has not been officially confirmed by Musk.

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve YES if by December 31, 2026, at least five different women have publicly claimed to be mothers of Elon Musk's children. The claims must be:

• Made publicly (via social media, press statements, legal filings, or mainstream media coverage)

• Made by the woman herself or her legal representatives

• Not explicitly disproven by Elon Musk or legal documentation

The market will resolve NO if fewer than five women have made such claims by the end of 2026.

Considerations

• Claims made before market creation (including by Wilson, Grimes, Zilis, and St. Clair) count toward the total

• Anonymous claims or claims made through unverified sources will not count

• The veracity of the claims does not need to be proven for market resolution - only the existence of the public claims matters

• If a woman retracts her claim before the resolution date, she will not count toward the total