When will a Democrat lose the popular vote in a presidential election?
Plus
31
Ṁ15k2051
99.8%
2024
0.1%
2028
0%
2032
0%
2036
0%
Note that Democrats have won the popular vote in 7 of the last 8 elections.
This resolves to one answer the next time a Democrat presidential candidate loses the popular vote.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Democrat popular vote% - Democrat Electoral college %
Will a Democrat win the 2028 Presidential Election?
57% chance
What share of the popular vote will the Democratic nominee for president receive in the next election?
49% chance
Will a Democrat win the 2028 Presidential Election?
56% chance
Will a Democrat win the 2028 US presidential election?
56% chance
Will a democrat win the 2028 presidential election?
51% chance
If a Democrat wins the Presidency while losing the popular vote, will Republicans turn against the Electoral College?
59% chance
Will a Democrat win the national popular vote in ALL of the following USA pres elections: 2028, 2032, 2036, 2040?
31% chance
When will a non-Republican candidate next win the presidency of the US?
Conditional on a Republican winning the 2024 POTUS election, will they have won the popular vote?
99% chance