On Feb. 16, Donald Trump was ordered to pay more than $450 million (including interest) by way of a judgment in his civil fraud trial in New York. Resolves Yes if the judgment is affirmed on appeal. Resolves No in all other cases (including one where the judgment is reversed and remanded for a new trial).

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/02/17/nyregion/trump-civil-cases-millions.html