Will there be 5+ "thought leaders" that became so due in part to trading success on prediction markets by end of 2026?
Plus
24
Ṁ9722027
39%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Trading - not market creation. Does not include people who were already thought leaders before having a trading record.
Thought leaders could roughly be approximated as having regular influence over thoughts of 5k+ individuals. I'm ok with approximating this by followers on a social media platform.
I might not be proactively looking for these individuals - examples will need to be raised in the comments.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will prediction markets become mainstream by 2028?
78% chance
Will r/PredictionMarkets have more than 100 members by the end of 2024?
50% chance
Will people care about prediction markets by 2025?
30% chance
Which prediction markets will win?
At the end of 2024, will any prediction markets have a clear lead over the others?
Which prediction markets and forecasting platforms will still be opening new markets/questions through 2028?
Will investment firms be interested in prediction market platforms before the end of 2024?
78% chance
Will I (@Bayesian) create over 500 markets in 2024?
23% chance
Will there be a platform for user-generated prediction markets that specializes in markets for personal goals by 2035?
Will any prediction market implement CEO markets before 2025?
3% chance
Will X implement a prediction markets feature before 2025?
17% chance